Cryptic SARS-CoV2-spike-with-sugar interactions revealed by 'universal' saturation transfer analysis (preprint)

Host-expressed proteins on both host-cell and pathogen surfaces are widely exploited by pathogens, mediating cell entry (and exit) and influencing disease progression and transmission. This is highlighted by the diverse modes of coronavirus entry into cells and their consequent differing pathogenicity that is of direct relevance to the current SARS-CoV-2 pandemic. Host-expressed viral surface proteins bear post-translational modifications such as glycosylation that are essential for function but can confound or limit certain current biophysical methods used for dissecting key interactions. Several human coronaviruses attach to host cell-surface N-linked glycans that include forms of sialic acid. There remains, however, conflicting evidence as to if or how SARS-associated coronaviruses might use such a mechanism. Here, we show that novel protein NMR methods allow a complete and comprehensive analysis of the magnetization transfer caused by interactions between even heavily modified proteins and relevant ligands to generate quantitative binding data in a general manner. Our method couples direct, objective resonance-identification via a deconvolution algorithm with quantitative analysis using Bloch-McConnell equations to obtain interaction parameters (e.g. KD, kEx), which together enable structural modelling. By using an automated and openly available workflow, this method can be readily applied in a range of systems. This complete treatment of so-called 'saturation transfer' between protein and ligand now enables a general analysis of solution-phase ligand-protein binding beyond previously perceived limits of exchange rates, concentration or system - this allows 'universal' saturation transfer analysis (uSTA). uSTA proves critical in mapping direct interaction between natural sialoside sugar ligands and SARS-CoV-2-spike glycoprotein by quantitating ligand signal in spectral regions otherwise occluded by resonances from mobile spike-protein glycans (that also include sialosides). Using uSTA, 'end on'-binding by SARS-CoV-2-spike protein to sialoside glycan is revealed, which contrasts with an observed 'extended surface'-binding for previously validated heparin sugar ligands. Quantitative use of uSTA-derived restraints pinpoints likely binding modes to an intrinsically disordered region of the N-terminal domain of SARS-CoV-2-spike trimer. Consistent with this, glycan binding is minimally perturbed by antibodies that neutralize via binding the ACE2-binding domain (RBD) but strongly disrupted in the B1.1.7 and B1.351 variants-of-concern that possess hotspot mutations around the identified site. An analysis of beneficial genetic variances in cohorts of patients from early 2020 suggests a possible model in which A-lineage-SARS-CoV-2 may have exploited a specific sialylated-polylactosamine motif found on tetraantennary human N-linked-glycoproteins in deeper lung. Since cell-surface glycans are widely relevant to biology and pathology, uSTA can now provide a ready, quantitative method for widespread analysis of complex, host-derived and post-translationally modified proteins with putative ligands relevant to disease even in previously confounding complex systems.

Post-Mendelian genetic model in COVID-19 (preprint)

Host genetics is an emerging theme in COVID-19 and few common polymorphisms and some rare variants have been identified, either by GWAS or candidate gene approach, respectively. However, an organic model is still missing. Here, we propose a new model that takes into account common and rare germline variants applied in a cohort of 1,300 Italian SARS-CoV-2 positive individuals. Ordered logistic regression of clinical WHO grading on sex and age was used to obtain a binary phenotypic classification. Genetic variability from WES was synthesized in several boolean representations differentiated according to allele frequencies and genotype effect. LASSO logistic regression was used for extracting relevant genes. We defined about 100 common driver polymorphisms corresponding to classical "threshold model". Extracted genes were demonstrated to be gender specific. Stochastic rare more penetrant events on about additional 100 extracted genes, when occurred in a medium or severe background (common within the family), simulate Mendelian inheritance in 14% of subjects (having only 1 mutation) or oligogenic inheritance (in 10% having 2 mutations, in 11% having 3 mutations, etc). The combined effect of common and rare results can be described as an integrated polygenic score computed as: (nseverity - nmildness) + F (mseverity - mmildness) where n is the number of common driver genes, m is the number of driver rare variants and F is a factor for appropriately weighing the more powerful rare variants. We called the model "post-Mendelian". The model well describes the cohort, and patients are clustered in severe or mild by the integrated polygenic scores, the F factor being calibrated around 2, with a prediction capacity of 65% in males and 70% in females. In conclusion, this is the first comprehensive model interpreting host genetics in a holistic post-Mendelian manner. Further validations are needed in order to consolidate and refine the model which however holds true in thousands of SARS-CoV-2 Italian subjects.

Shorter androgen receptor polyQ alleles protect against life-threatening COVID-19 disease in males. (preprint)

BackgroundCOVID-19 presentation ranges from asymptomatic to fatal. The variability in severity may be due in part to impaired Interferon type I response due to specific mutations in the host genome or to autoantibodies, explaining about 15% of the cases when combined. Exploring the host genome is thus warranted to further elucidate disease variability. MethodsWe developed a synthetic approach to genetic data representation using machine learning methods to investigate complementary genetic variability in COVID-19 infected patients that may explain disease severity, due to poly-amino acids repeat polymorphisms. Using host whole-exome sequencing data, we compared extreme phenotypic presentations (338 severe versus 300 asymptomatic cases) of the entire (men and women) Italian GEN-COVID cohort of 1178 subjects infected with SARS-CoV-2. We then applied the LASSO Logistic Regression model on Boolean gene-based representation of the poly-amino acids variability. FindingsShorter polyQ alleles ([≤]22) in the androgen receptor (AR) conferred protection against a more severe outcome in COVID-19 infection. In the subgroup of males with age <60 years, testosterone was higher in subjects with AR long-polyQ ([≥]23), possibly indicating receptor resistance (p=0.004 Mann-Whitney U test). Inappropriately low testosterone levels for the long-polyQ alleles predicted the need for intensive care in COVID-19 infected men. In agreement with the known anti-inflammatory action of testosterone, patients with long-polyQ ([≥]23) and age>60 years had increased levels of C Reactive Protein (p=0.018). InterpretationOur results may contribute to design reliable clinical and public health measures and provide a rationale to test testosterone treatment as adjuvant therapy in symptomatic COVID-19 men expressing AR polyQ longer than 23 repeats. FundingMIUR project "Dipartimenti di Eccellenza 2018-2020" to Department of Medical Biotechnologies University of Siena, Italy (Italian D.L. n.18 March 17, 2020). Private donors for COVID research and charity funds from Intesa San Paolo. BoxesO_ST_ABSEvidence before this studyC_ST_ABSWe searched on Medline, EMBASE, and Pubmed for articles published from January 2020 to August 2020 using various combinations of the search terms "sex-difference", "gender" AND SARS-Cov-2, or COVID. Epidemiological studies indicate that men and women are similarly infected by COVID-19, but the outcome is less favorable in men, independently of age. Several studies also showed that patients with hypogonadism tend to be more severely affected. A prompt intervention directed toward the most fragile subjects with SARS-Cov2 infection is currently the only strategy to reduce mortality. glucocorticoid treatment has been found cost-effective in improving the outcome of severe cases. Clinical algorithms have been proposed, but little is known on the ability of genetic profiling to predict outcome and disclose novel therapeutic strategies. Added-value of this studyIn a cohort of 1178 men and women with COVID-19, we used a supervised machine learning approach on a synthetic representation of the uncovered variability of the human genome due to poly-amino acid repeats. Comparing the genotype of patients with extreme manifestations (severe vs. asymptomatic), we found that the poly-glutamine repeat of the androgen receptor (AR) gene is relevant for COVID-19 disease and defective AR signaling identifies an association between male sex, testosterone exposure, and COVID-19 outcome. Failure of the endocrine feedback to overcome AR signaling defect by increasing testosterone levels during the infection leads to the fact that polyQ becomes dominant to T levels for the clinical outcome. Implications of all the available evidenceWe identify the first genetic polymorphism predisposing some men to develop a more severe disease irrespectively of age. Based on this, we suggest that sizing the AR poly-glutamine repeat has important implications in the diagnostic pipeline of patients affected by life-threatening COVID-19 infection. Most importantly, our studies open to the potential of using testosterone as adjuvant therapy for severe COVID-19 patients having defective androgen signaling, defined by this study as [≥]23 PolyQ repeats and inappropriate levels of circulating androgens.

Shorter Androgen Receptor PolyQ Alleles Protect Against Life-Threatening COVID-19 Disease in Males (preprint)

Background: COVID-19 presentation ranges from asymptomatic to fatal. The variability in severity is due in part to specific mutations in the host genome. GWAS effectively identifies genetic variability due to common biallelic polymorphisms. Efforts in genetic research are trying to identify significant associations in patients infected by SARS-CoV-2. Methods: We developed a synthetic approach to genetic data representation using machine learning methods to investigate complementary genetic variability in COVID-19 infected patients that might explain disease severity due to rare variants and poly-amino acids repeat polymorphisms. Using host whole-exome sequencing data, we compared extreme phenotypic presentations of an Italian cohort of 939 subjects infected with SARS-CoV-2. We then applied the LASSO Logistic Regression model on Boolean gene-based representation of the entire set of human genes. Findings: Polymorphisms/rare variants in certain genes, including short polyQ (≤22) of the androgen receptor ( AR ), conferred protection against severe forms of COVID-19. We then demonstrated that testosterone was higher in males with AR long-polyQ (≥23), confirming receptor resistance (p=0.004 Mann-Whitney U test). Finally, long-polyQ (≥23) correlates with increased inflammation markers (p=0.021) and fibrinogen consumption (p=0.039), confirming the anti-inflammatory role of testosterone. Interpretation: Our results contribute to designing reliable clinical and public health measures and provide a rationale to test testosterone supplementation as adjuvant treatment in symptomatic COVID-19 men expressing AR polyQ longer than 23. Funding: MIUR project “Dipartimenti di Eccellenza 2018-2020” to Department of Medical Biotechnologies University of Siena, Italy; Private donors for COVID research (Italian D.L. n.18 March 17, 2020).Declaration of Interests: The authors declare no competing interests.Ethics Approval Statement: The GEN-COVID study was approved by the University Hospital of Siena Ethics Review Board (Protocol n. 16917, dated March 16, 2020).

Vitamin D and Covid-19 Susceptibility and Severity: a Mendelian Randomization Study (preprint)

Introduction Increased vitamin D levels, as reflected by 25OHD measurements, has been proposed to protect against Covid-19 disease based on in-vitro, observational, and ecological studies. However, vitamin D levels are associated with many confounding variables and thus associations described to date may not be causal. Vitamin D MR studies have provided results that are concordant with large-scale vitamin D randomized trials. Here, we used two-sample MR to assess the effect of circulating 25OHD levels on Covid-19 susceptibility. Methods Genetic variants strongly associated with 25OHD levels in a 443,734-participant genome-wide association study (GWAS) were used as instrumental variables. GWASs of Covid-19 susceptibility and severity from the Covid-19 Host Genetics Initiative were used to test the effect of 25OHD levels on these outcomes. Cohorts from the Covid-19 Host Genetics Initiative GWAS included up to 966,395 individuals of European ancestry. Results Genetically increased 25OHD levels by one standard deviation on the logarithmic scale had no clear effect on susceptibility but tended to increase the odds ratio of hospitalization (OR = 2.34; 95% CI: 1.33, 4.11) and severe disease (OR = 2.21; 95% CI: 0.87, 5.55). Extensive sensitivity analyses probing the assumptions of MR provided consistent estimates. Conclusion These findings do not support a protective role of increased 25OHD levels on Covid-19 outcomes and may suggest harm. At present, individuals should not use vitamin D supplements to protect against Covid-19 outcomes, and on-going supplementation trials should closely monitor for signals of harm.

Employing a Systematic Approach to Biobanking and Analyzing Genetic and Clinical Data for Advancing COVID-19 Research (preprint)

Within the GEN-COVID Multicenter Study, biospecimens from more than 1,000 SARS-CoV-2-positive individuals have thus far been collected in the GEN-COVID Biobank (GCB). Sample types include whole blood, plasma, serum, leukocytes, and DNA. The GCB links samples to detailed clinical data available in the GEN-COVID Patient Registry (GCPR). It includes hospitalized patients (74.25%), broken down into intubated, treated by CPAP-biPAP, treated with O2 supplementation, and without respiratory support (9.5%, 18.4%, 31.55% and 14.8, respectively); and non-hospitalized subjects (25.75%), either pauci- or asymptomatic. More than 150 clinical patient-level data fields have been collected and binarized for further statistics according to the organs/systems primarily affected by COVID-19: heart, liver, pancreas, kidney, chemosensors, innate or adaptive immunity, and clotting system. Hierarchical Clustering analysis identified five main clinical categories: i) severe multisystemic failure with either thromboembolic or pancreatic variant; ii) cytokine storm type, either severe with liver involvement or moderate; iii) moderate heart type, either with or without liver damage; iv) moderate multisystemic involvement, either with or without liver damage; v) mild, either with or without hyposmia. GCB and GCPR are further linked to the GEN-COVID Genetic Data Repository (GCGDR), which includes data from Whole Exome Sequencing and high-density SNP genotyping. The data are available for sharing through the Network for Italian Genomes, found within the COVID-19 dedicated section. The study objective is to systematize this comprehensive data collection and begin identifying multi-organ involvement in COVID-19, defining genetic parameters for infection susceptibility within the population and mapping genetically COVID-19 severity and clinical complexity among patients.

Clinical and molecular characterization of COVID-19 hospitalized patients (preprint)

Clinical and molecular characterization by Whole Exome Sequencing (WES) is reported in 35 COVID-19 patients attending the University Hospital in Siena, Italy, from April 7 to May 7, 2020. Eighty percent of patients required respiratory assistance, half of them being on mechanical ventilation. Fiftyone percent had hepatic involvement and hyposmia was ascertained in 3 patients. Searching for common genes by collapsing methods against 150 WES of controls of the Italian population failed to give straightforward statistically significant results with the exception of two genes. This result is not unexpected since we are facing the most challenging common disorder triggered by environmental factors with a strong underlying heritability (50%). The lesson learned from Autism-Spectrum-Disorders prompted us to re-analyse the cohort treating each patient as an independent case, following a Mendelian-like model. We identified for each patient an average of 2.5 pathogenic mutations involved in virus infection susceptibility and pinpointing to one or more rare disorder(s). To our knowledge, this is the first report on WES and COVID-19. Our results suggest a combined model for COVID-19 susceptibility with a number of common susceptibility genes which represent the favorite background in which additional host private mutations may determine disease progression.

ACE2 variants underlie interindividual variability and susceptibility to COVID-19 in Italian population (preprint)

In December 2019, an initial cluster of interstitial bilateral pneumonia emerged in Wuhan, China. A human-to-human transmission was assumed and a previously unrecognized entity, termed coronavirus-disease-19 (COVID-19) due to a novel coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2) was described. The infection has rapidly spread out all over the world and Italy has been the first European country experiencing the endemic wave with unexpected clinical severity in comparison with Asian countries. It has been shown that SARS-CoV-2 utilizes angiotensin converting enzyme 2 (ACE2) as host receptor and host proteases for cell surface binding and internalization. Thus, a predisposing genetic background can give reason for inter-individual disease susceptibility and/or severity. Taking advantage of the Network of Italian Genomes (NIG), here we mined whole-exome-sequencing data of 6930 Italian control individuals from five different centers looking for ACE2 variants. A number of variants with a potential impact on protein stability were identified. Among these, three more common missense changes, p.(Asn720Asp), p.(Lys26Arg), p.(Gly211Arg) were predicted to interfere with protein structure and stabilization. Rare variants likely interfering with the internalization process, namely p.(Leu351Val) and p.(Pro389His), predicted to interfere with SARS-CoV-2 spike protein binding, were also observed. Comparison of ACE2 WES data between a cohort of 131 patients and 258 controls allowed identifying a statistically significant (P value <0,029) higher allelic variability in controls compared to patients. These findings suggest that a predisposing genetic background may contribute to the observed inter-individual clinical variability associated with COVID-19, allowing an evidence-based risk assessment leading to personalized preventive measures and therapeutic options.